Value Investing

G

Gemino Rossi

December 28, 2025



Fundamentals and Purpose

Value Investing is the most revered and, at the same time, the most misunderstood investment strategy in financial history. Born in the classrooms of Columbia University in the 1920s under the guidance of Benjamin Graham and David Dodd, and later perfected by Warren Buffett, this philosophy is based on a deceptively simple premise: buy assets for less than they are really worth.

The purpose of Value Investing is not to buy "cheap companies," but to exploit market inefficiencies. It is founded on the critical distinction between Price (what you pay) and Value (what you get). The value investor acts as an arbiter of reality, taking advantage of moments when the market, dominated by fear or apathy, offers a dollar for fifty cents.

Unlike speculation, which focuses on predicting short-term chart behavior, Value Investing centers on the fundamental analysis of the underlying business, viewing itself not as a buyer of lottery tickets (stocks), but as a part-owner of a real company.

The Big Lie: Value vs. Growth

Before delving into the mechanics, it is vital to tear down a conceptual wall that confuses most novice investors and many professionals: the supposed battle between "Value" and "Growth."

In the mainstream narrative, "Value" is labeled for low-growth companies, heavy industries, and low multiples (P/E of 5x-10x), while "Growth" is reserved for tech and disruptors with high multiples. This distinction is, to a large extent, absurd.

Most analysts feel they must choose between two approaches customarily thought to be in opposition: "value" and "growth." [...] the two approaches are joined at the hip: Growth is always a component in the calculation of value

Warren Buffett

As Warren Buffett aptly pointed out:

"Growth and value are joined at the hip. Growth is always a component in the calculation of value."

The true Value Investor seeks to maximize risk-adjusted returns. If a small-cap company trades at a P/E of 5x but manages to grow earnings at 20% annually, it will experience double propulsion: organic earnings growth and multiple expansion (say, to 12x) when the market recognizes its quality. If this company generates a 240% return in three years, was it a "Value" or "Growth" investment? The label is irrelevant; it was a smart investment.

Similarly, companies traditionally labeled "Growth" become "Value" opportunities when the market irrationally punishes them:

  • Apple (2016-2017): While Wall Street treated it as a declining hardware company, trading at ~$90, the company had net cash per share of between $27 and $30. Subtracting the cash, the investor was paying a ridiculously low multiple for one of the world's best businesses. Warren Buffett did not buy Apple as a speculative tech bet; he bought it because it was a classic value bargain.

  • Meta (2022): When the price plummeted and the stock traded at 10-15x earnings due to fears over Metaverse spending, it ceased to be an expensive "growth stock" and became a deep value opportunity with a massive margin of safety.

True Value Investing does not discriminate by sector; it discriminates by the price-to-value relationship.

Components and Pillars of the Strategy

The architecture of Value Investing rests on three immovable pillars that act as a defense against volatility.

1. Margin of Safety

It is the engineering concept applied to finance. If you build a bridge to withstand 10-ton trucks, you design it to support 30 tons. In investing, if you calculate that a company is worth €100, you don't buy at €95; you buy at €60 or €70. That difference is your margin of error. It protects against calculation errors, bad luck, or unforeseen economic crises.

2. Mr. Market

Graham allegorized the market as a manic-depressive partner named "Mr. Market". Every day, Mr. Market offers to buy your stake or sell you his at a different price.

  • When euphoric, he demands absurd prices (bubbles).

  • When depressed, he gives away his shares in panic. The value investor understands that the market is there to serve him, not to guide him. Volatility is not risk; it is opportunity.

3. Intrinsic Value

It is the present value of all future cash flows the asset will generate. Although it is an estimated and subjective figure, it is the investor's north star.

Mechanics and Types of Value Investing

Not all value investors operate the same way. There are different nuances in the treasure hunt:

Deep Value (Cigar Butts)

Graham's original style. It involves seeking mediocre or troubled companies that trade so cheaply (even below liquidation value or Net-Net) that it is almost impossible to lose money. It is like finding a cigar butt on the ground: dirty and unpleasant, but with one free puff left.

  • Risk: The company may go bankrupt or be a perpetual "Value Trap".

Quality Value (Compounders)

The evolution of Buffett and Charlie Munger. "It is better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price". Here, the investor seeks wide economic moats, high return on invested capital (ROIC), and reinvestment capacity. The "value" lies in the company's ability to compound capital at high rates for decades. Buying Alphabet at a P/E of 18x can be more "Value" than buying a bankrupt airline at 4x.

Special Situations (Arbitrage)

Investments that depend on a specific corporate event rather than long-term earnings: mergers, spin-offs, restructurings, or liquidations. Value is unlocked when the catalyst event occurs.

Methodological Criticism and Psychological Challenges

If Value Investing is so logical, why isn't everyone rich? Because it is psychologically brutal and methodologically demanding.

The Loneliness of the Contrarian

To achieve different results from the majority, you must do different things from the majority. This means buying when news is terrible (banking crises, wars, recessions) and selling when neighbors are getting rich on the latest fad (NFTs, meme stocks). Humans are social animals; going against the herd causes real physical pain in the brain.

The Value Trap

A stock that looks cheap may be cheap for a good reason. A company whose business is becoming technologically obsolete (e.g., Kodak or Blockbuster in their final days) will always appear to have a low P/E before dying. The investor must distinguish between temporary problems (opportunity) from structural ones (trap).

Temporary Underperformance

Years (even a decade) can pass where Value underperforms speculative Growth. During the dot-com bubble, Buffett was ridiculed for not buying tech. Maintaining discipline while appearing foolish requires steel conviction.

FAQs and Adjustments for the Investor

Is Value Investing just buying low P/E?

Definitely not. Low P/E can be a signal, but not the thesis. A cyclical company (like a miner) often has very low P/E just before earnings collapse. Conversely, a high-growth company can have 30x P/E and be undervalued if it triples earnings in three years.

How to identify the "Turning Point"?

Value investors often enter "too early". You buy at €50 thinking it's worth €100, and it drops to €40. This is normal. We don't try to time the bottom, but ensure the paid price offers long-term protection.

Does it still work in the age of algorithms and AI?

Yes, because algorithms rely on data and speed but often lack judgment on business quality or human context. Moreover, human fear and greed (drivers of price inefficiencies) haven't changed in 2000 years.

Final Verdict: Pragmatism over Dogmatism

The semantic debate over what is "Value" and what is "Growth" is a pastime for theoretical academics, not practical investors.

You should adopt the Value Investing mindset if:

  • You understand stocks as proportional ownership of real businesses.

  • You care more about return of capital than social validation from owning "hot" stocks.

  • You have the patience to watch grass grow and the stomach to buy when there's blood in the streets.

At the end of the day, the label matters little. What matters is whether our analysis allowed us to buy a discounted future cash flow. The true value investor is label-agnostic: he'll buy high-growth tech if the price is right, and a brick factory if the price is right.

The winning strategy isn't blindly following a textbook, but understanding that money is made on the buy, waiting for time and economic reality to do the rest. As Munger said:

All intelligent investing is value investing – acquiring more than you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock.

Charlie Munger

All intelligent investing is value investing: acquiring more than you are paying for.

— Charlie Munger